Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 9.596792 11.073114 12.656600 14.476221 16.504112 18.689310 21.216630
2025-11-23 7.219189 9.127047 11.322990 14.017898 17.215288 20.866450 25.328523
2025-11-30 6.012213 8.153126 10.752172 14.099877 18.254270 23.195138 29.466197
2025-12-07 5.136977 7.403556 10.283788 14.147546 19.123148 25.238767 33.238555
2025-12-14 4.504493 6.857029 9.970304 14.297455 20.049729 27.319717 37.072239
2025-12-21 3.951676 6.335131 9.611501 14.316645 20.754596 29.097044 40.541268
2025-12-28 3.611532 6.063643 9.549531 14.700159 21.924814 31.487764 44.855680
2026-01-04 3.286301 5.770524 9.417930 14.954766 22.904057 33.635808 48.899927
2026-01-11 2.953345 5.423795 9.168985 15.006637 23.578890 35.372740 52.426597
2026-01-18 2.555651 4.925939 8.644232 14.603787 23.563062 36.132560 54.617797
2026-01-25 2.232925 4.512035 8.207475 14.290130 23.639531 36.998235 56.954737
2026-02-01 1.948301 4.128312 7.781338 13.953515 23.647317 37.744186 59.121916
2026-02-08 1.705918 3.793465 7.409368 13.679725 23.738810 38.620226 61.518104
2026-02-15 1.466920 3.433825 6.961644 13.246746 23.551728 39.066077 63.291621
2026-02-22 1.336867 3.267400 6.831946 13.325133 24.162006 40.709470 66.855233
2026-03-01 1.216104 3.103795 6.691289 13.370655 24.712943 42.270946 70.330794
2026-03-08 1.120819 2.980697 6.612643 13.513812 25.421663 44.088241 74.231120
2026-03-15 1.019591 2.831238 6.470484 13.532139 25.917789 45.582816 77.673124
2026-03-22 0.967823 2.785406 6.522363 13.898440 27.007510 48.035537 82.639156
2026-03-29 0.906693 2.710013 6.508996 14.141665 27.892869 50.184251 87.182881
2026-04-05 0.831356 2.590549 6.396445 14.191222 28.441688 51.803697 90.935030
2026-04-12 0.723611 2.374922 6.066513 13.806386 28.209524 52.143389 92.673116
2026-04-19 0.635259 2.194102 5.791875 13.506816 28.108079 52.683793 94.730923